Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.229515 0.273741 0.323374 0.383081 0.452831 0.531606 0.627184
2025-02-16 0.159999 0.215447 0.284741 0.377183 0.496693 0.645339 0.843510
2025-02-23 0.119242 0.176059 0.253046 0.363939 0.518317 0.724147 1.017562
2025-03-02 0.091216 0.145704 0.224775 0.346233 0.526012 0.779747 1.161659
2025-03-09 0.078249 0.133662 0.218881 0.357033 0.572207 0.890464 1.391236
2025-03-16 0.063198 0.115132 0.199547 0.343557 0.578833 0.942326 1.538234
2025-03-23 0.055464 0.106963 0.194851 0.351614 0.618542 1.046690 1.773649
2025-03-30 0.048826 0.099370 0.189669 0.357569 0.654641 1.147883 2.012721
2025-04-06 0.041919 0.089951 0.179693 0.353437 0.672450 1.219971 2.209902
2025-04-13 0.036280 0.081910 0.170888 0.349885 0.690222 1.292775 2.413853
2025-04-20 0.033193 0.078460 0.170193 0.361166 0.735722 1.417330 2.717875
2025-04-27 0.032622 0.080233 0.179962 0.393765 0.824334 1.626347 3.189584
2025-05-04 0.029925 0.077065 0.179653 0.407125 0.879272 1.782355 3.585618
2025-05-11 0.026057 0.070511 0.171291 0.402916 0.899317 1.875684 3.875325
2025-05-18 0.022074 0.062846 0.159226 0.388959 0.897470 1.926128 4.086983
2025-05-25 0.018412 0.055197 0.145895 0.370136 0.882748 1.948997 4.245693
2025-06-01 0.017035 0.053293 0.145846 0.381622 0.934928 2.112093 4.699551
2025-06-08 0.014483 0.047589 0.135521 0.367291 0.927613 2.150475 4.900298
2025-06-15 0.013357 0.045742 0.134678 0.375859 0.973525 2.305684 5.358086
2025-06-22 0.012250 0.043719 0.133044 0.382192 1.014792 2.454262 5.813642
2025-06-29 0.010852 0.040473 0.127561 0.377798 1.029633 2.545368 6.151269
2025-07-06 0.009648 0.037580 0.122583 0.374021 1.045477 2.639945 6.504064
2025-07-13 0.009081 0.036717 0.123345 0.386018 1.102466 2.834289 7.097484